{"id":78427,"date":"2025-05-16T09:57:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T12:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=78427"},"modified":"2026-06-15T14:20:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T17:20:39","slug":"realizo-la-defensa-de-tesis-de-maestria-titulada-aplicacion-de-modelos-predictivos-para-la-estimacion-de-generacion-fotovoltaica-en-mariscal-estigarribia-departamento-de-boqueron-paraguay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=78427","title":{"rendered":"Realiz\u00f3 la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada \u201cAplicaci\u00f3n de Modelos Predictivos para la Estimaci\u00f3n de Generaci\u00f3n Fotovoltaica en Mariscal Estigarribia, Departamento de Boquer\u00f3n, Paraguay\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El pasado 25 de Abril de 2025, se llev\u00f3 a cabo en la <strong>Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de la Universidad Nacional de Asunci\u00f3n (FIUNA)<\/strong>, la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada\u00a0<em>\u201cAplicaci\u00f3n de Modelos Predictivos para la Estimaci\u00f3n de Generaci\u00f3n Fotovoltaica en Mariscal Estigarribia, Departamento de Boquer\u00f3n, Paraguay\u201d<\/em>, realizada por el Ing. Eduardo Jos\u00e9 Riquelme Portillo, bajo la Tutor\u00eda del Prof. Dr. \u00c1ngel Rinc\u00f3n Rodr\u00edguez. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p>El acto de defensa se constituye como el \u00faltimo requisito para optar al grado de Mag\u00edster en Energ\u00eda para el Desarrollo Sostenible, con \u00e9nfasis en Energ\u00edas Renovables y Eficiencia Energ\u00e9tica de la FIUNA.<\/p>\n<h4>Resumen<\/h4>\n<p>Esta tesis integra Machine Learning con m\u00e9todos de predicci\u00f3n no convencionales para optimizar la estimaci\u00f3n de generaci\u00f3n fotovoltaica. Su objetivo es mejorar las predicciones de irradiancia solar a nivel local, permitiendo c\u00e1lculos m\u00e1s precisos del potencial energ\u00e9tico con d\u00edas o semanas de antelaci\u00f3n, facilitando la gesti\u00f3n eficiente en regiones aisladas con acceso limitado a la red el\u00e9ctrica. La metodolog\u00eda emplea XGBoost, un algoritmo de gradient boosting, entrenado con datos hist\u00f3ricos de irradiancia de la NSRDB y datos meteorol\u00f3gicos de la DINAC. Se implement\u00f3 un extenso proceso de ingenier\u00eda de caracter\u00edsticas, incluyendo rezagos, promedios m\u00f3viles e interacciones entre variables clim\u00e1ticas para capturar tendencias temporales y relaciones no lineales de la irradiancia solar global (GHI). El modelo alcanz\u00f3 un desempe\u00f1o altamente preciso, con un R\u00b2 de 0.9966 y un MAE de 7.374 W\/m\u00b2, validando su capacidad predictiva comparado con datos del a\u00f1o 2023. Este estudio representa un aporte significativo en la aplicaci\u00f3n de inteligencia artificial en energ\u00edas renovables, proporcionando un marco escalable para su integraci\u00f3n con datos en tiempo real y deep learning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El pasado 25 de Abril de 2025, se llev\u00f3 a cabo en la Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de la Universidad Nacional de Asunci\u00f3n (FIUNA), la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada\u00a0\u201cAplicaci\u00f3n de Modelos Predictivos para la Estimaci\u00f3n de Generaci\u00f3n Fotovoltaica en Mariscal Estigarribia, Departamento de Boquer\u00f3n, Paraguay\u201d, realizada por el Ing. Eduardo Jos\u00e9 Riquelme Portillo, bajo la Tutor\u00eda del Prof. Dr. \u00c1ngel Rinc\u00f3n Rodr\u00edguez.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":78428,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[823,887,218,87,75,91],"tags":[360,521],"class_list":["post-78427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-departamento-de-ingenieria-mecanica-y-electromecanica","category-eventos","category-masterados","category-maestrias-presentadas","category-noticias","category-postgrado","tag-energia-renovable","tag-maestria-en-energia"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc8Odv-koX","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":86614,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=86614","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":0},"title":"Defensa de Tesis Maestr\u00eda en Energ\u00edas Renovables y Eficiencia Energ\u00e9tica","author":"Admin","date":"15\/06\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"El pasado mi\u00e9rcoles 3 de junio de 2026 se realiz\u00f3 la defensa de la Maestr\u00eda en Energ\u00eda para el Desarrollo del Ingeniero Joel Lauro Bord\u00f3n Insfr\u00e1n, en el marco del programa de Maestr\u00eda en Energ\u00eda para el Desarrollo Sostenible, Energ\u00edas Renovables y Eficiencia Energ\u00e9tica de la Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Joel-Bordon-001.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Joel-Bordon-001.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Joel-Bordon-001.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Joel-Bordon-001.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":86618,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=86618","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":1},"title":"Realiz\u00f3 defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada \u00abEstudio T\u00e9cnico De Almacenamiento De Energ\u00eda En Un Sistema Fotovoltaico. Caso De Estudio: Joel Estigarribia\u00bb","author":"Admin","date":"15\/06\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"El pasado 03 de junio del 2026, el Ingeniero Juan Miguel Guerrero Recalde present\u00f3 y defendi\u00f3 su tesis de Maestr\u00eda \"Estudio T\u00e9cnico De Almacenamiento De Energ\u00eda En Un Sistema Fotovoltaico. Caso De Estudio: Joel Estigarribia\", desarrollada en el marco de la Maestr\u00eda en Energ\u00eda para el Desarrollo Sostenible, Energ\u00edas Renovables\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Maestria-en-Energia-Juan-Guerrero-001.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Maestria-en-Energia-Juan-Guerrero-001.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Maestria-en-Energia-Juan-Guerrero-001.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":79151,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=79151","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":2},"title":"Realiz\u00f3 la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada \u00abAn\u00e1lisis De Sensibilidad T\u00e9cnico-Econ\u00f3mico Para La Propuesta De Nuevas Modalidades De Implementaci\u00f3n De Generaci\u00f3n De Energ\u00eda Fotovoltaica\u201d","author":"Admin","date":"10\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"El 30 de mayo de 2025, se realiz\u00f3 en la Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de la Universidad Nacional de Asunci\u00f3n (FIUNA), la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada\u00a0\u201cAn\u00e1lisis De Sensibilidad T\u00e9cnico-Econ\u00f3mico Para La Propuesta De Nuevas Modalidades De Implementaci\u00f3n De Generaci\u00f3n De Energ\u00eda Fotovoltaica\u201d, presentada por el Ingeniero Edgar Dar\u00edo Castro\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/IMG-20250602-WA0015-e1749566055592.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/IMG-20250602-WA0015-e1749566055592.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/IMG-20250602-WA0015-e1749566055592.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/IMG-20250602-WA0015-e1749566055592.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":79643,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=79643","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":3},"title":"Realiz\u00f3 la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada \u201cBancada Experimental Para La Producci\u00f3n De Hidr\u00f3geno Con Energ\u00eda Solar Fotovoltaica\u201d","author":"Admin","date":"07\/07\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"El pasado mi\u00e9rcoles 02 de Julio de 2025, se realiz\u00f3 en la Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de la Universidad Nacional de Asunci\u00f3n (FIUNA), la defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada\u00a0\u201cBancada Experimental Para La Producci\u00f3n De Hidr\u00f3geno Con Energ\u00eda Solar Fotovoltaica\u201d, presentada por el Ing. Armando Ram\u00f3n Portillo Portillo, bajo la Tutor\u00eda\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/IMG-20250702-WA0039-e1751899285122.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/IMG-20250702-WA0039-e1751899285122.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/IMG-20250702-WA0039-e1751899285122.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/IMG-20250702-WA0039-e1751899285122.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26803,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=26803","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":4},"title":"Se present\u00f3 en la FIUNA Tesis de Maestr\u00eda en Ingenier\u00eda Electr\u00f3nica del Ing. David Caballero Morilla","author":"Admin","date":"07\/10\/2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Ing. David Caballero Morilla\u00a0present\u00f3 exitosamente su Defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda en Ingenier\u00eda Electr\u00f3nica de la\u00a0Facultad de Ingenier\u00eda de la Universidad Nacional de Asunci\u00f3n (FIUNA),\u00a0titulada\u00a0\u201cEstrategias de control predictivo de convertidores matriciales para aplicaci\u00f3n en micro redes\u201c. Recibiendo as\u00ed el t\u00edtulo de M\u00e1ster en Ingenier\u00eda Electr\u00f3nica. Las industrias de energ\u00eda con\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/web-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/web-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/web-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/web-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/web-1.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":58759,"url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?p=58759","url_meta":{"origin":78427,"position":5},"title":"El ingeniero Rodrigo Romero Vega present\u00f3 su Tesis de Maestr\u00eda en Ciencias de Ingenier\u00eda Electr\u00f3nica de la FIUNA","author":"Admin","date":"30\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"El pasado martes 26 de septiembre, el Ing. Rodrigo Romero Vega present\u00f3 exitosamente su defensa de Tesis de Maestr\u00eda titulada \u201cDise\u00f1o de un esquema de control predictivo de corriente con minimizaci\u00f3n de potencia reactiva y capacidad de operaci\u00f3n pos-falta aplicado a sistemas de generaci\u00f3n hexaf\u00e1sicos\u201d del Programa de Maestr\u00eda en\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEventos\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Eventos","link":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/?cat=887"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/RodrigoR-4-e1746623110536.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/RodrigoR-4-e1746623110536.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/RodrigoR-4-e1746623110536.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/RodrigoR-4-e1746623110536.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/1-3-e1747400107231.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=78427"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86626,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78427\/revisions\/86626"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/78428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=78427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=78427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ing.una.py\/FIUNA3\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=78427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}